Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.002100 0.002248 0.002401 0.002573 0.002759 0.002956 0.003180
2024-12-22 0.001883 0.002090 0.002313 0.002575 0.002872 0.003202 0.003596
2024-12-29 0.001710 0.001951 0.002222 0.002549 0.002935 0.003381 0.003935
2025-01-05 0.001581 0.001846 0.002151 0.002531 0.002996 0.003549 0.004262
2025-01-12 0.001459 0.001736 0.002063 0.002481 0.003006 0.003648 0.004503
2025-01-19 0.001370 0.001659 0.002006 0.002460 0.003044 0.003777 0.004783
2025-01-26 0.001258 0.001544 0.001895 0.002361 0.002974 0.003761 0.004867
2025-02-02 0.001230 0.001533 0.001911 0.002424 0.003113 0.004020 0.005329
2025-02-09 0.001197 0.001511 0.001911 0.002464 0.003221 0.004242 0.005753
2025-02-16 0.001192 0.001527 0.001959 0.002568 0.003421 0.004598 0.006388
2025-02-23 0.001148 0.001486 0.001930 0.002565 0.003470 0.004743 0.006725
2025-03-02 0.001094 0.001430 0.001877 0.002526 0.003464 0.004807 0.006941
2025-03-09 0.001043 0.001380 0.001834 0.002505 0.003494 0.004941 0.007297
2025-03-16 0.001002 0.001342 0.001807 0.002505 0.003556 0.005126 0.007751
2025-03-23 0.000956 0.001295 0.001764 0.002480 0.003576 0.005248 0.008114
2025-03-30 0.000917 0.001255 0.001729 0.002463 0.003607 0.005390 0.008517
2025-04-06 0.000871 0.001203 0.001675 0.002414 0.003586 0.005443 0.008774
2025-04-13 0.000837 0.001166 0.001640 0.002394 0.003606 0.005565 0.009157
2025-04-20 0.000784 0.001101 0.001560 0.002298 0.003500 0.005469 0.009143
2025-04-27 0.000777 0.001102 0.001580 0.002359 0.003652 0.005816 0.009963
2025-05-04 0.000764 0.001094 0.001585 0.002398 0.003768 0.006110 0.010711
2025-05-11 0.000767 0.001110 0.001628 0.002499 0.003997 0.006616 0.011914
2025-05-18 0.000745 0.001087 0.001608 0.002496 0.004044 0.006799 0.012495